Wednesday, March 9, 2011

BAP Kardashians: First Basemen

As I prefaced earlier, I'll be doing some quick reference guides for late round stat-helpers throughout the week, sorted by position.  These are players that you can have confidence you'll be able to snag late in drafts, allowing you to draft according to the Best Player Available mantra while still having the option of keeping the team, or at least dealing from a position of strength after the draft.

Here are the lists, organized by the category in which they can best help your team, and sorted by ADP (provided in this instance by mockdraftcentral):

Steals:
Gaby Sanchez, FLA
Michael Cuddyer, MIN
James Loney, LAD
Garret Jones, PIT
All of these guys stole 7+ bases last season, and both are an outside shot to get to double digits this year.  Speed is obviously a weak category for 1B so it might be better to try and make steals up at a different position if you can, especially at OF.

Home Runs / RBIs:
Paul Konerko, CWS (a little obvious for this exercise, but as of right now he's not being drafted as a starting 1B in many leagues)
Carlos Pena, CHC
Gaby Sanchez, FLA
Mike Napoli, TX (actually worth playing at 1B if your BAP somehow has you drafting 2 catchers)
Garret Jones, PIT
Justin Smoak, SEA
Kila Ka'aihue, KC
If you hadn't realized, 1B is crazy deep this season.  None of these guys would be starters in a 12 team league, but all of them are a lock for at least 15 home runs with the ability to comfortably push past 20 if healthy.  According to Yahoo the average 1B posted up 24 home runs in 2010, so if you're trying to compensate for a stat deficiency late you'll probably have to sacrifice some average batting average.

Runs:
Aubrey Huff, SF
Michael Cuddyer, MIN
Both of these guys aren't as good in real life as they are in fantasy but are very solid bets to pile up the counting stats.  Huff is likely to regress a bit after his return to relevance last season, but with a full does of Buster Posey and the arrival of Brandon Belt he should still score close to 90 times even with reduced ratios.

AVG:
Billy Butler, KC
Derek Lee, BAL
Mitch Moreland, TX
James Loney, LAD
Freddie Freeman, ATL
Daniel Murphy, NYM
All of these guys should be right around .290, which can really help balance out a lineup.  Remember, if you take Adam Dunn's 600 at-bats of .260 and add 600 at-bats of .290 you get .275, and with these guys you'll still average 30 home runs per person.  That's a lot easier to swallow, and if you add just one more .290 guy at say, an OF slot, you're contending for the AVG crown in roto or at least putting some serious pressure on your opponents week to week in h2h.

Remember, these are just intended to be handy reference guides for your draft day.  If you find that your BAP draft has you missing out on an elite 1B, take a deep breath, stick to your guns, and then consult this list late to help you address any statistical dearth you've stumbled into.  Tomorrow I'll take a look at a slightly shallower position at second base.  There's a smaller batch of cream at the top, but still valuable contributers to be found to pretty up that back end.

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